30 Jun · 22:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RF
🇨🇿Radek Fitl
ELO 1516
FormWWWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Fitl
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kabelka
ELO 1435
FormWLLWL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Fitl
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 60% · 1.68· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
20%
2-3
17%
1-3
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+81
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+81)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)