30 Jun · 22:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KP
🇨🇿Kiejda Patryk
ELO 1574
FormWWWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Patryk
WA
🇨🇿Wiekiera Arkadiusz
ELO 1521
FormLLWWL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Patryk
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~85 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
20%
2-3
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
14%
Elo Gap+53
H2H10-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.