1 Jul · 10:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JB
🇨🇿Jan Benak
ELO 1726
FormWWWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Benak
OF
🇨🇿Ondrej Fiklik
ELO 1610
FormWLWWW
59%
41%
Fair odds · Benak
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
19%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+116
H2H36-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+116)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (36-15)