1 Jul · 11:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PB
🇨🇿Pavel Benes
ELO 1511
FormLLLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Kocab
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kocab
ELO 1584
FormLWWWW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Kocab
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~73 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+73
H2H16-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+73)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-11)