1 Jul · 15:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SH
🇨🇿Simon Holik
ELO 1521
FormWLWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Holik
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Knazik
ELO 1438
FormWWLLW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Holik
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~79 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+83
H2H14-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-11)