1 Jul · 20:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LV
🇨🇿Lukas Vich
ELO 1500
FormWLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kratochvil
CK
🇨🇿Christian Kratochvil
ELO 1521
FormWWLLL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Kratochvil
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H8-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.