1 Jul · 20:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TO
🇨🇿Tomas Ogrocki
ELO 1568
FormLLWLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Ogrocki
MH
🇨🇿Michal Henzel
ELO 1471
FormWLLLW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Ogrocki
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+97
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+97)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)