1 Jul · 18:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
SM
🇨🇿Simon Matousch
ELO 1433
FormWWWLL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Cesak
MC
🇨🇿Michal Cesak
ELO 1585
FormWWWLW
38%
62%
Fair odds · Cesak
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~74 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+152
H2H7-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+152)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-4)