1 Jul · 20:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DO
🇨🇿David Osvald
ELO 1579
FormWWWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Osvald
MH
🇨🇿Michal Henzel
ELO 1471
FormWLLLW
59%
41%
Fair odds · Osvald
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+108
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+108)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)