1 Jul · 16:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MC
🇨🇿Michal Cesak
ELO 1585
FormWWWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Cesak
MJ
🇨🇿Martin Juhasz
ELO 1533
FormWWWLL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Cesak
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+52
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.