1 Jul · 17:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PC
🇨🇿Pavel Cibik
ELO 1472
FormWLWLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Cesak
MC
🇨🇿Michal Cesak
ELO 1585
FormWWWLW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Cesak
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+113
H2H8-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+113)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-5)