1 Jul · 22:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kocab
ELO 1605
FormWWWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Brozek
MB
🇨🇿Michal Brozek
ELO 1654
FormWLLWW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Brozek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~73 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+49
H2H6-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.