1 Jul · 16:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TF
🇨🇿Tomas Fojtik
ELO 1538
FormWWWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Benes
RB
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1620
FormWWWWW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Benes
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+82
H2H6-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+82)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-2)