1 Jul · 17:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
FC
🇨🇿Frantisek Chaloupka
ELO 1571
FormLWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Chaloupka
TF
🇨🇿Tomas Fojtik
ELO 1538
FormWWWWL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Chaloupka
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+33
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.