1 Jul · 21:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LV
🇨🇿Lukas Vich
ELO 1500
FormWLWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Jr
AJ
🇨🇿Ales Brandtl Jr
ELO 1501
FormLWLWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Jr
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+1
H2H19-19
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.