1 Jul · 18:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MC
🇨🇿Martin Cerny
ELO 1739
FormLWWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Vanek
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vanek
ELO 1827
FormWWWWL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Vanek
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+88
H2H28-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+88)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (28-20)