1 Jul · 20:50 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OF
🇨🇿Ondrej Fiklik
ELO 1604
FormWLLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kocab
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kocab
ELO 1605
FormWWWLW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Kocab
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~73 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+1
H2H26-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.