1 Jul · 16:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DV
🇨🇿David Vesecky
ELO 1688
FormWWLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Cerny
MC
🇨🇿Martin Cerny
ELO 1739
FormLWWWL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Cerny
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+51
H2H65-57
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.