1 Jul · 21:20 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MK
🇨🇿Marek Kulisek
ELO 1607
FormWWWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kulisek
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kocab
ELO 1605
FormWWWLW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Kulisek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~73 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+2
H2H12-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.