1 Jul · 17:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SM
🇨🇿Simon Matousch
ELO 1433
FormWWWLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Juhasz
MJ
🇨🇿Martin Juhasz
ELO 1533
FormWWWLL
42%
58%
Fair odds · Juhasz
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+100
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+100)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)