1 Jul · 16:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
T2
🇨🇿Tomas Beran 2000
ELO 1578
FormLLWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.722000
MM
🇨🇿Martin Mastera
ELO 1475
FormWLLLW
58%
42%
Fair odds · 2000
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+103
H2H9-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+103)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-4)