1 Jul · 19:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KP
🇨🇿Kiejda Patryk
ELO 1587
FormWWWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Patryk
WA
🇨🇿Wiekiera Arkadiusz
ELO 1522
FormLLWWL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Patryk
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 55% · 1.83· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~79 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+65
H2H10-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+65)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-7)