2 Jul · 11:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OV
🇨🇿Ondrej Varecka
ELO 1564
FormWLWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Varecka
AL
🇨🇿Ales Langer
ELO 1554
FormWWLWL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Varecka
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 35% · 2.82· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+10
H2H1-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.