2 Jul · 10:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AL
🇨🇿Ales Langer
ELO 1554
FormWWLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Langer
VJ
🇨🇿Vaclav Hejda Jr
ELO 1474
FormLLLLW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Langer
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+80
H2H50-43
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+80)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (50-43)