2 Jul · 14:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇨🇿Jachym Sebl
ELO 1463
FormWLWLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Vodal
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vodal
ELO 1563
FormWLWWL
42%
58%
Fair odds · Vodal
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+100
H2H27-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+100)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (27-14)