2 Jul · 10:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DS
🇨🇿David Sochor
ELO 1487
FormWLWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Sochor
VJ
🇨🇿Vaclav Hejda Jr
ELO 1474
FormLLLLW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Sochor
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+13
H2H6-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.