2 Jul · 13:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Knazik
ELO 1467
FormLWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Jr
AJ
🇨🇿Ales Brandtl Jr
ELO 1488
FormLWLLL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Jr
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H30-37
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.