2 Jul · 16:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MM
🇨🇿Michal Moravec
ELO 1557
FormWWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kleprlik
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kleprlik
ELO 1586
FormLWWWL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Kleprlik
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H3-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.