2 Jul · 17:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FM
🇨🇿Filip Marat
ELO 1411
FormLWWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Fiala
JF
🇨🇿Jan Fiala
ELO 1500
FormWWLWL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Fiala
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+89
H2H5-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)