2 Jul · 19:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PD
🇨🇿Petr Dvorak
ELO 1555
FormLWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kulisek
MK
🇨🇿Marek Kulisek
ELO 1604
FormWLWLW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Kulisek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+49
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.