2 Jul · 17:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LS
🇨🇿Lukas Slavik
ELO 1563
FormLLWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Slavik
MM
🇨🇿Michal Moravec
ELO 1557
FormWWWLL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Slavik
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+6
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.