3 Jul · 10:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ZZ
🇨🇿Zdenek Zahradka
ELO 1505
FormLWWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Zahradka
FM
🇨🇿Filip Marat
ELO 1430
FormWLWLW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Zahradka
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+75
H2H23-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+75)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (23-13)