3 Jul · 11:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OV
🇨🇿Ondrej Varecka
ELO 1535
FormLLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Varecka
ZZ
🇨🇿Zdenek Zahradka
ELO 1505
FormLWWWL
52%
48%
🌟Zahradka rarely covers set handicap as underdog 33% (12)
Fair odds · Varecka
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H9-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.