3 Jul · 14:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kocab
ELO 1604
FormLWLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Kocab
JV
🇨🇿Jan Vonasek
ELO 1512
FormWLWLW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Kocab
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+92
H2H5-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+92)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-2)