3 Jul · 16:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1555
FormLLLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kleprlik
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kleprlik
ELO 1589
FormWLWLL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Kleprlik
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+34
H2H9-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.