3 Jul · 19:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AC
🇨🇿Ales Cizek
ELO 1509
FormWLWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Cizek
DV
🇨🇿Daniel Vitasek
ELO 1505
FormLWLWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Cizek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+4
H2H6-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.