3 Jul · 15:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BM
🇨🇿Borek Moravec
ELO 1663
FormWWLLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Moravec
FC
🇨🇿Frantisek Chaloupka
ELO 1552
FormLLLLL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+111
H2H21-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+111)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-15)