3 Jul · 20:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PC
🇨🇿Pavel Cibik
ELO 1492
FormWWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Cibik
AJ
🇨🇿Ales Brandtl Jr
ELO 1469
FormLLWLL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Cibik
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H21-23
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.