3 Jul · 17:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DB
🇨🇿David Bochnak
ELO 1682
FormLLLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Kadavy
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Kadavy
ELO 1780
FormLWWWW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Kadavy
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+98
H2H79-40
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+98)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (79-40)