3 Jul · 18:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DV
🇨🇿David Vesecky
ELO 1714
FormWWLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Vesecky
DB
🇨🇿David Bochnak
ELO 1682
FormLLLLW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Vesecky
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+32
H2H18-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.