3 Jul · 17:20 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JR
🇨🇿Jakub Rolik
ELO 1459
FormLLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Zeman
RZ
🇨🇿Radek Zeman
ELO 1473
FormLWLWL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Zeman
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+14
H2H64-47
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.