3 Jul · 21:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JC
🇨🇿Jean-Baptiste Cousin
ELO 1535
FormLLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Cousin
RM
🇨🇿Radek Muller
ELO 1504
FormLLWWW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Cousin
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+31
H2H3-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.