3 Jul · 22:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JC
🇨🇿Jean-Baptiste Cousin
ELO 1535
FormLLLLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Cousin
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Rein
ELO 1424
FormLWLLL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Cousin
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+111
H2H22-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+111)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (22-7)