3 Jul · 17:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MC
🇨🇿Martin Cerny
ELO 1730
FormWLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kadavy
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Kadavy
ELO 1780
FormLWWWW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Kadavy
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~73 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+50
H2H18-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.