3 Jul · 21:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DV
🇨🇿Daniel Vitasek
ELO 1505
FormLWLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Krupnik
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1555
FormLLLLW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Krupnik
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+50
H2H17-19
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.