3 Jul · 22:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JD
🇨🇿Jaroslav Dohnal
ELO 1505
FormWWLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Dohnal
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Rein
ELO 1424
FormLWLLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Dohnal
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+81
H2H17-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+81)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-5)