3 Jul · 19:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Kadavy
ELO 1780
FormLWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kadavy
DV
🇨🇿David Vesecky
ELO 1714
FormWWLWW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Kadavy
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+66
H2H7-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-4)