3 Jul · 16:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BM
🇨🇿Borek Moravec
ELO 1663
FormWWLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Moravec
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kleprlik
ELO 1589
FormWLWLL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+74
H2H27-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+74)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (27-22)