3 Jul · 21:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AJ
🇨🇿Ales Brandtl Jr
ELO 1469
FormLLWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Vich
LV
🇨🇿Lukas Vich
ELO 1506
FormLLWWW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Vich
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+37
H2H20-19
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.