3 Jul · 20:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AC
🇨🇿Ales Cizek
ELO 1509
FormWLWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Slavik
LS
🇨🇿Lukas Slavik
ELO 1575
FormWWWLL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Slavik
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+66
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)